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Continued Rise of Asia-Pacific and its Meaning

Notes spoken to by the Hon. David Kilgour,

Secretary of State (Asia-Pacific) & MP for Edmonton Southeast

before the Sub-Committee on International Trade, Trade Disputes and Investment

Parliament Hill, Ottawa, February 5, 2003

Mr Chair and colleagues: I’m delighted with the Sub-Committee’s interest in this complex topic. Knowing the quality of your previous studies, particularly the one on the WTO, I have no doubt that this process will result in a series of useful recommendations.

Let me get right to the point - the Asia-Pacific region is incredibly important, not only to Canada but to the world’s long term prosperity and security. What happens in the Asia-Pacific region matters to Canada. It matters because Canada is home to millions of people who trace their ancestry to the region, because it holds enormous business opportunities, and because it is increasingly a source of investment in our country.

Our Hidden Advantage

Canada’s large, growing, and diverse Asian communities have made indelible contributions to the Canadian mosaic. There are over a million Chinese-Canadians and similar numbers who trace their roots to South Asia. With over half of our new immigrants coming from the Asia-Pacific region, our “Asianification” will continue and have a growing impact.

Many of us see this in our constituencies. The president of my riding association, for example, was born in Pakistan; the two vice-presidents were born in India; the treasurer was born in Vietnam. We need only look to fellow members of parliament, cabinet colleagues, our Governor General, celebrated writers and artists and more to see Canada’s Asian face.

Our former colleague, Raymond Chan, who served as Secretary of State (Asia-Pacific) from 1993 to 2000, termed such people-to-people links “Canada’s hidden advantage”; they build bridges from Canada to all over Asia-Pacific. They transport ideas, knowledge, culture, and values in both directions; we are all better as a result.

Canada is thriving in part because of these human bonds, but also because the Asia-Pacific region is again vibrant economically.

Economic Opportunities

Opportunities for Canadians in Asia-Pacific are expanding rapidly. The Asian economic crisis is over. Current growth is unparalleled. Asia-Pacific remains our second largest trading partner. Since 1970, our exports there have grown an average of eleven percent a year. For over a decade, our trans-Pacific trade has exceeded our trans-Atlantic trade. Investment links in both directions have grown significantly.

Every part of Canada benefits from our economic relations with Asia-Pacific. Whether it be the provision of advanced technology services, agricultural products, and natural resources from Western Canada, communications technology from Ontario, hydro-electric management skills from Quebec, or the marketing of navigational technology and dried jellyfish from Atlantic Canada, all Canadians benefit. Each of us has a stake in this important relationship.

Asia-Pacific’s market is getting bigger and more prosperous all the time. Large middle income communities, with substantial purchasing power, are emerging -- we are literally talking about hundreds of millions of new consumers.

While the opportunities are extraordinary, our economic relations are not without challenges. Our trade volumes have recovered since the Asian financial crisis, but there is vast room for improvement in export performance. We have lost market share to traditional rivals, and we were probably not prepared enough for the emergence of new, competitive players within the region itself. Multilateral bodies like ASEAN are exploring free trade agreements with other major economies in Asia-Pacific; we need to make an effort to make sure Canada is not forgetten.

Part of the reason for Canada’s current status is also systemic: falling commodity prices, reduced resource demand, and a slowdown in Japan are all important factors. In my year as Secretary of State (Asia-Pacific), certain challenges have become apparent.

Foremost, it is my impression that the majority of Canadian business people are unaware of Asia’s potential. Most of Asia-Pacific’s opportunities remain relatively untapped by Canadians.

As one would expect, governments and business are focussed on the North American market, but if recent trade disputes have certainly taught that diversification makes good business sense. The attractions of doing business in Asia-Pacific haven’t reached enough Canadians. Some still feel burned by the Asian-flu; others looked at the size of markets such as China, expecting immediate returns on investment, unprepared to settle in for the long haul. Canada’s Asia Pacific Foundation recently identified an “information gap”; firms already in Asia with direct access to their own sources of information are confident enough of the business climate to increase their holdings. Those that rely on second-hand sources of information - such as media or consultants based in Canada - show little interest. In other words, Canadian business needs more reliable information to identify new opportunities, and prepare to do business in unfamiliar markets.

On the other side, the knowledge of Canada in Asia is outdated. We enjoy a general positive image, but Canada’s brand is suffering. The roots of our problem lie in the widespread perception that Canada is a travel destination as opposed to a trading partner. Business people in Asia-Pacific need to know that Canada encompasses both realities.

Misconceptions about Canada, in my experience, are in part due to two factors. First, many of our traditional business organizations which have focussed on the Asia-Pacific region are underperforming. Canada’s “hidden advantage” that I referred to earlier, in my opinion, is sometimes still too hidden.

The second factor is one that we are all too aware of: resources. As it stands, we have an incredible group of men and women, Canadians and Asian nationals alike, promoting Canada’s economic trade interests in Asia-Pacific. Our Trade Commissioner Service (TCS) is the envy of foreign business people all over Asia-Pacific; there’s hardly a country I’ve visited where Canadian business people haven’t told me that their successes are in part due to the information and services our officers provided. TCS’s new approach allows them to focus on core value-added services and the innovative use of new technologies, getting our officers out from behind the desk and promoting Canadian interests. But there are not enough of these officers out there. I have just returned from India, where we do not have enough Canadian presence in Hyderabad, Bangalore, or Chennai – three of India’s most important high tech cities.

We know our resources are limited, and as such we have identified strategic partners in the region, and priority sectors.

Strategic Partners

The strategic partners we’ve identified in Asia-Pacific are: Japan, China and India. Despite Japan’s economic slowdown, it is our second largest trading partner, one of the world’s most mature markets, and it’s population sits on over $1.4 trillion in savings. India and China currently hold one third of the world’s population; within a generation, the middle income communities in each could be over half a billion people. Arguably, the world’s future over the next 50 years will be shaped to a very considerable degree by decisions made in Delhi, Tokyo and Beijing.

In China, our efforts are paying off in some areas. Total exports, for instance, have risen eighty-seven percent over the last decade. It is now our fourth largest export market (third if we include Hong Kong). A Canadian manufacturing company in Suzhou, for example, which I was fortunate to visit while I was there, went from a few employees to over 1000 in just a few years, with plans to reach 3000 by the end of next year. Canadian firms are also investing in R&D. In Guangzhou, for instance, there is Nortel's centre at Zhongshan University, which has grown from just a handful to about 200 staff within a few years. With China’s recent accession to the WTO and the subsequent expectation of more transparent trade rules, we can expect more success stories there.

While there is still much progress to be made in our relationship with India, we have seen a steady increase in exports, investment flowing both ways, and important joint ventures in information technology, biotechnology and the arts. Canadian companies are already aware that the world’s largest film industry is Bollywood, not Hollywood. Cutting edge Indian companies such as Satyam Computer Services, Infosys, and Kshema have already invested in Canada. That said, these cases are still the exception rather than the rule. Out current trade figures with India point to enormous potential: India is the world’s 11th largest economy; Canada the 8th. And yet, we are only the other’s 25th largest trading partner. As liberalization in India continues, we hope better access will see trade rise quickly.

Priority Sectors

Besides focussing on the key markets of Japan, China and India, we are also looking to new sectors. Note the increase of our trade in knowledge-based products and services. With the rapidly developing infrastructure in much of the region, Canadian expertise in engineering, project management, and environmental consulting is much in demand.

Opportunities have presented themselves in aviation products and aircraft. This market is slow in much of the world, yet Canada’s aircraft exports to the region have grown almost 300 percent in five years.

Our insurance sector is already a major player. Along with other financial services, Canadian companies in these sectors are poised to take better advantage of Asia-Pacific’s opportunities. Our biotechnology industry is also attracting increased attention. Cultural exports, including film, animation, and literature are generating increased sales.

The vast need for new housing in much of the Asia-Pacific region lends itself not only to lumber exports but also to prefabricated units using a wider range of Canadian material and skilled labour. Who better to respond to these needs?

Our suppliers have found niches in telecommunications infrastructure, energy development and transportation services. Canadian involvement in development projects often translates into immediate business opportunities for Canadian enterprises as well as into longer term benefits for Canada’s brand and market presence.

Our companies have consistently won eight to ten percent of Asian Development Bank contracts for infrastructure development. CIDA’s Industrial Co-operation Program has provided opportunities for our companies to participate in projects in the region, often forming joint ventures and multiplying the benefits both within Canada and the host country well beyond the scope of the initial project.

An often overlooked knowledge-based service we provide to Asia-Pacific nationals is education. Over half the foreign students currently studying in Canada are from Asia-Pacific and are estimated to bring over $2 billion into our economy each year. Graduates of Canadian universities are leaders in business and government in their respective countries, while often maintaining links they made while studying here. Marketing Canadian education will be a growing priority in the coming years.

We continue important institutional linkages. For example, our active participation in APEC promotes free and open trade in the region while helping less developed members to reach WTO goals, to take practical steps towards eliminating red tape, and to enhance security.

It must be remembered that investment flows both ways across the Pacific. Direct investment into Canada from the Asia-Pacific region has increased eighty percent over the last decade. Canadian investment into the region is important not only to Canadian investors but also in establishing long term, mutually beneficial relationships.

Areas of Study

Can we do better? Absolutely. The Asia Pacific market is large and complicated, and we cannot do everything. We must focus our efforts without compromising our values. How can we do better? I identified some areas: improving Asia-Pacific’s brand in Canada and vice-versa; reinvigorating our traditional business associations; improving our official presence in Asia-Pacific’s most important markets. We hope that the Sub-Committee will be able to suggest others.

You can engage a cross-section of Canadians to more precisely define both the challenges and opportunities we face in the Asia-Pacific region. Travelling to Asia-Pacific’s economic capitals will certainly help you do this. Most importantly, it will hopefully result in concrete recommendations that will help us work in a more focussed manner.

In particular, we look forward to specific recommendations regarding how we can find the ways and means to improve our performance in priority sectors and services. How do you think we can better provide Canadian companies with market intelligence to attract them to the Asia Pacific market? In what ways can Team Canada missions be made even more effective? Are Free Trade Agreements a viable option?

Our approaches must go beyond traditional trade and investment promotion. We must look strategically at Asia-Pacific not only as the world’s largest market in terms of population, the fastest growing market overall by OECD standards, and an increasingly important place for Canadian companies to do business. We must also look to the region as a source of knowledge workers to maintain Canada’s momentum in the new economy. We must realize that technology transfers and development partnerships can work both ways across the Pacific. In short, we must look to the Asia-Pacific region as a source of investment in innovation for Canada’s future prosperity and security.

For trade, as we know, is inextricably linked to our economic stability and to the world’s larger sense of security. We also have to visualize trade and investment as useful tools of development. It is in everyone’s interest for Canadians to be good corporate citizens - to see beyond the bottom line. Honest trade and honest investment empower the lives of people everywhere. Both are levers for creating good jobs, strengthening the rule of law, promoting transparency, and fostering good governance. Incidentally, a judge friend of mine thinks that the rule of law should be our most cherished export. Consequently, our economic relationships in Asia-Pacific – like anywhere else in the world – must co-exist with our priority of promoting human security.

Mr. Chairman, we truly welcome the study that the Sub-Committee has launched and look forward to working closely with you over the coming months.

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